The Shipping Year 2001
The year of 2001 saw the firm markets deflate
as the world economy took a downturn. The terror attacks of 11. September
intensified this tendency and for a while knocked out the bottom of
the stock indexes. As we leave 2001 behind, most analysts are promising
better times this year.
The shipping industry came to witness a gradual decline
in most markets, with temporary high rates for large crude tankers,
but otherwise softening for products, bulk and containers. The oil price
has come down, with lower bunker prices as a result, but still high
enough to keep up new exploration and merit new offshore projects.
New
investment in newbuildings and second-hand purchases followed a similar
cycle: brisk activity during the first half of the year, a total standstill
in September/October and a feeble upturn towards the end.
In the Scandinavian market we have recorded orders for 93 vessels at
a total value of more than USD 3.5 billion, of which most of the 20
offshore vessels of USD 486 million were actually optioned before the
end of 2000 and only later confirmed.
Eight
LNG-carriers ordered by Golar LNG, Bergesen, Knutsen OAS, Høegh
and A P Møller account for 38 per cent of the contracting value,
followed by product and crude tankers, LPG carriers and offshore vessels
as the main categories. It is interesting to note that new Suezmax,
Aframax and Panamax tankers were ordered by owners in all the Scandinavian
countries, whereas the Danish and Swedish shipbrokers appear the most
keen on product tankers. In terms of tonnage, the orders represent some
3.2 million tons tdw, although tonnage is no real measure for a great
many of these vessels.
Second hand acquisitions
Secondhand acquisitions from abroad amounted to 92 vessels of a total
value in excess of one billion USD. These vessels represent some 2.2
million tdw, not counting passenger and drilling vessels. Interesting
purchases were the ferry «Langkapuri Star Aquarius» and
the cruise vessel «Crown Dynasty» by DFDS and Fred Olsen
Cruises, respectively, each transacted at USD 75 million. The much-publicized
USD 140 million take-over of First International Tankers by Tom Steckmest
was finalized in June, when the six 46,000 tdw product tankers passed
into Norwegian ownership.
It
is intersting to note that several bulk carriers have been taken by
Norwegian buyers, including three Maersk Panamaxes by the expanding
Spar Shipping. Nine reefers have been acquired by Swedish and Norwegian
buyers. A number of shortsea vessels were acquired from other European
owners, generally older and low-cost units.
Comparing
the activity in Scandinavia with Greece, the other vibrant shipping
market in Europe, is quite interesting.
According
to information from G Moundreas, a Piraeus broker house, Greek owners
last year ordered 73 newbuildings, of which 69 cargo vessels of 6.7
million tdw. In terms of tonnage, this is considerably more than the
3.2 million tdw ordered by Scandinavian owners. However, the order value
of USD 3.5 billion for Scandinavian account is higher than the Greeks
which we estimate to USD 2.8 billion.
As
expected, the Greeks were far more active in the secondhand market with
some 185 acquisitions of 12.6 million tdw. These transactions are estimated
by «TradeWinds» at just over USD 2 billion. This is twice
as much as Scandinavian owners spent on second-hand imports, 92 vessels
of 2.2 million tdw and just above USD 1 billion.
Consolidation process
In
addition to the sale and purchase of individual vessels, there were
several corporate deals which included entire companies and fleets.
Such transactions are parts in the on-going consolidation process which
saw Ugland Nordic Tankers of Sandefjord being swallowed by Teekay Shipping
and Osprey Maritime of Singapore by John Fredriksen to become Golar
LNG. Another such transaction was the Norwegian offshore company Sea-Truck
being bought by American GulfMark.
The
reefer market was taking a long step towards consolidation by Lauritzens
acquisition of Cool Carriers at the end of 2000 and Kristian Siems
restructuring of Swan Reefer and its take-over of Albion Reefers of
London in August and the subsequent link-up with NYK Reefers.
In
Copenhagen, the Wonsild & Son, Clipper Group and Tschudi & Eitzen
have formed closer bonds in the chemical tanker field. The liner services
between Norway and UK/Continent were quite dramatically changed with
the joint-venture of Seatrans and Nor-Cargo in SeaCargo and the DFDS
takeover of the majority in Lys-Line. By the latter step, DFDS has a
very strong position in the Skagerak-Europe market.
The
market for very large bulk carriers saw Bergesen and Hugo Neu setting
up a jointly-owned company in Hamburg to operate a fleet of very large
ore and bulk carriers above 200,000 tdw, following Neus purchase
of the Krupp fleet. There were also Scandinavian participants in the
giant Capesize bulk pool set up by Bocimar/Zodiac-ABC. The operational
merger between Royal Caribbean Cruise Line and P&O Princess is on
its way. although Carnival is trying to thwart the deal.
Compared
to the recent years, the total investment by the Scandinavian shipping
industry appears to be somewhat higher than average, but well below
the boom years of 1997 and 2000. Quite as important is the commercial
agility to take part in the reshaping of our industry.
Dag Bakka Jr



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